Indianapolis, IN (Sports Network) - It's not every Super Bowl where the team
with the league's worst record gets as much attention as the two that will be
competing for the NFL's most cherished piece of sterling silver.
Or when Chad Ochocinco, at long last making it to the ultimate platform to
hold court with his trademark flamboyance, offers no material of
interest...and no one would even care if he did?
Or when Tom Brady isn't the second-most talked about quarterback in the days
leading up to a championship game appearance, but the third?
This may be officially known as Super Bowl XLVI, but a more appropriate title
for this latest renewal of football's grandest game would be Manning XXIV/VII
-- as in 24/7.
It's the first time Indianapolis is getting to host the NFL's showcase
spectacle, and the city has been pulling out all the stops to make a lasting
impression on the fans and media that have swarmed upon its streets in massive
numbers.
These folks know how to put on a party. And Brady, one of the league's most
recognizable faces, finds himself in the foreign position of being the outcast
wallflower for the first time in his brilliant and transcendent career.
As evidenced by the endless bombardment of blue No. 18 jerseys adorning the
walkways, it would take any visitor but an instant to recognize that
Indianapolis is undeniably Peyton Manning's town. And the legendary
quarterback's running tit-for-tat with owner Jim Irsay over his future with
the franchise he almost single-handedly put back on the NFL map isn't merely
an interesting sidebar to Sunday's showdown between Brady's Patriots and the
New York Giants -- it's THE story.
And when the twisting soap opera between Manning and Irsay is in need of an
interlude, the focus shifts to the member of the league's first family of
signal-callers who'll actually be in uniform for the contest and what it means
to his burgeoning legacy.
While Eli Manning's opportunity to permanently etch his own name among the
sport's hallowed fraternity of quarterbacks by winning a second Lombardi
Trophy -- or one more than his more revered older brother -- has received
plenty of notoriety in advance of his Giants' Super Bowl sequel with the
Patriots, the place Brady would hold in history if he's able to take New
England back to the NFL's summit has been virtually ignored.
And those leaning on the Giants' side in the prognostication department have
been quick to point out the two late rallies the younger Manning has
engineered in the last two matchups between the teams, the first of course
coming in New York's stunning win over the heavily-favored Pats in Super Bowl
XLII four years ago, as well as the sixth fourth-quarter comebacks New York's
poised field general has executed to help bring his club to the doorstep of
another world title. It's almost as if we've forgotten Brady's own stellar
accomplishments in those crunch-time situations, having executed a game-
winning drive in all three of the Super Bowls New England came out on top
under his command.
It could be that Brady is simply taken for granted due to his sustained level
of excellence, or maybe it's because it seems more like an eternity than the
seven years that have passed since the Patriots last hoisted the championship
hardware. And the fact that he's been outshined by Eli Manning two straight
times in head-to-head bouts and is coming off an admittedly ho-hum performance
in the AFC title game probably has had some bearing on that public perception.
And that's precisely why Sunday's game is as much about restoring a reputation
that should in no way be tainted by the outcome of those two previous
encounters as it is to Eli Manning's standing in the historical hierarchy. A
Patriots victory does more than simply push Brady past boyhood idol Joe
Montana for the most postseason wins by a quarterback in NFL history and make
the certain Hall of Famer one of only three triggermen to earn four Super Bowl
rings (along with Montana and Terry Bradshaw) -- it gives an unquestioned icon
a deserved place back in the spotlight for a greatness that's been suddenly
overlooked.
Before giving a prediction on how Sunday's matchup could play out, here's a
trivia question. What college has the most players on the combined active and
reserve rosters for Super Bowl XLVI? (Answer below). A quick hint: it's not a
team from the SEC, Big 12 or the Big Ten.
A CRYSTAL BALL FOR CANTON
An annual highlight of Super Bowl weekend is the announcement of the incoming
class of the Pro Football Hall of Fame, which will be revealed amidst great
fanfare on Saturday night. Here's one writer's forecast for who will get to
don those garish gold jackets in August, though keep in mind this isn't
necessarily an essay on who should be included. It's merely a (somewhat)
educated estimation based on the committee's past leanings.
One trend that has crept up in the last few years is only one player from a
particular position group making the cut in a particular election, excluding
those recommended as senior nominees. Using that criteria, here are seven
finalists that may be receiving the good news:
Jack Butler, CB: I'll admit I don't know much about Butler, who went to four
Pro Bowls and intercepted 52 passes (second-most in NFL history at the time of
his retirement) over nine seasons with the Pittsburgh Steelers from 1951-59.
But the veteran's committee traditionally has a great deal of pull, as
evidenced by the fact that 20 out of 22 senior candidates have gotten in since
1998.
Cris Carter, WR: Hard to believe that a player that ranks second only to Jerry
Rice all-time in both receptions (1,101) and touchdown catches (130) is on his
fifth attempt, but it's obvious that the Hall voters form some issue with
either Carter's past demons or the numbers amassed by wide receivers in the
modern era, as fellow finalists Tim Brown and Andre Reed have also been barred
from inclusion in previous elections despite deserving credentials. Carter's
resume is superior to both of them, so we'll keep beating the drum until the
balloters finally relent.
Charles Haley, DE/LB: One of a select few who have been named All-Pro at two
different positions, Haley was also a finalist in 2010 and 2011 but lost out
in favor of Rickey Jackson and Richard Dent, respectively. The ex-Cowboy and
49er was one of the premier pass rushers of his time and a proven winner,
having been a part of a record five Super Bowl champion teams, but his
temperamental reputation may be his biggest obstacle.
Cortez Kennedy, DT: A finalist for the fourth consecutive time, this could be
the year Kennedy finally breaks through. His track record is a worthy one,
having garnered eight Pro Bowl accolades and the NFL's Defensive Player of the
Year award in 1992 in 11 standout seasons with Seattle.
Bill Parcells, Coach: "The Big Tuna" was on the ballot in both 2001 and 2002
but came up short (Marv Levy and George Allen were elected as coaches in those
years), and hasn't been eligible lately because of his return to the sidelines
with the Cowboys from 2003-06. With two Super Bowl victories, one AFC title
and 10 playoff appearances in 19 seasons, it can be argued that he's even more
deserving than those other two. Plus, as the mentor to the coaches of the two
teams taking part in Sunday's game, wouldn't it be appropriate that Parcells
got his due right now?
Willie Roaf, OT: The former Saints and Chiefs protector was worthy of
induction as a first-year eligible in 2011, but probably missed out only
because both Marshall Faulk and Deion Sanders rightfully got in on their
initial tries. As an 11-time Pro Bowler with nine All-Pro citations, it would
be awfully hard to deny Roaf this time around.
Dick Stanfel, OG: Another senior nominee, Stanfel was named to five Pro Bowls
in a playing career that spanned just seven seasons, having retired at age 31
to become an assistant at Notre Dame. As previously stated, there's been a
bias towards the old-timers lately, though the ex-Lion and Redskin did come up
short after being put up for induction by the veterans in 1993.
TRIVIA AND TIDBITS
The answer to the above question: Boston College. That's right, the little
Catholic school about a half-hour's drive from the Patriots' headquarters has
a game-high six players on the payroll of Sunday's participants. Four of them
are Giants, with outside linebacker Mathias Kiwanuka (an Indianapolis native
as well), guard Chris Snee, rookie linebacker Mark Herzlich and punt returner
Will Blackmon all ex-Eagles, while New England counts injured center Dan
Koppen and reserve defensive lineman Ron Brace among the alumni. And don't
forget that Giants head coach Tom Coughlin had a successful three-year run as
BC's sideline boss from 1991-93 before taking over the then-expansion
Jacksonville Jaguars, not to mention he happens to be Snee's father-in-law.
The Hoosier State will also be well-represented at Super Bowl XLVI, with
Kiwanuka and Giants rookie offensive tackle James Brewer both hailing from
Indianapolis and the Patriots fielding three former Purdue Boilermakers:
longtime left offensive tackle Matt Light, outside linebacker Rob Ninkovich
and special-teams stalwart Niko Koutovides.
And getting back to Herzlich. By now most know his inspirational story, a
projected first-round draft pick who was fighting for his life just one year
after being the ACC's most dominant defensive player as a junior at Boston
College in 2008. After beating both the disease and the long odds of making
the Giants as a college free agent in training camp, he and Patriots rookie
offensive tackle Marcus Cannon -- himself a well-regarded prospect whose stock
plummeted after developing non-Hodgkins lymphoma just prior to last year's
draft -- are two of the feel-good tales of the Super Bowl along with New
England's dedication of this season to Myra Kraft, the late wife of owner
Robert Kraft who passed away after a long battle with cancer in July.
And here's one final note that may be of interest. Though the Patriots are the
team more synonymous with recent Super Bowls, having now been to five in the
last 11 years, the Giants are actually the ones with the edge in the
experience factor. Nineteen members of New York's active roster have played in
the game as opposed to 10 for New England, and the Giants still have 15
veterans left from the outfit that shocked the Pats in Glendale four years
ago. Only seven Patriots remain from that nearly-perfect season, with tackle
Vince Wilfork the lone defensive starter still around from Super Bowl XLII.
Incidentally, one of the Giants with Super Bowl seasoning is backup offensive
tackle Tony Ugoh, part of the Colts team that lost to New Orleans in Miami to
conclude the 2009 campaign.
AND THE PICK IS...
With the last two clashes between these teams having gone right down to the
wire and a pair of quarterbacks that are proven performers in the clutch, the
best guess may be the one that has the ball last. But while both of those
contests have been relatively low-scoring affairs in which neither side could
generate much offense in the first half, points figure to be easier to come by
in the advantageous conditions of Lucas Oil Stadium. The Giants played indoors
three times during the regular season (they went 2-1), and those games
produced a total of 58, 73 and 71 points.
And since this season has been the year of the quarterback, odds are whomever
prevails in the individual battle between Manning and Brady will be the
deciding factor, as well as which defense is better equipped to disrupt the
pass-heavy game plan its opponent will likely feature on game day.
If that's indeed how it unfolds, then a strong case could be made for the
Giants to have New England's number once again. New York boasts three elite
pass rushers on its front line in second-year sensation Jason Pierre-Paul and
Super Bowl XLII holdovers Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora. Though the Giants
weren't able to get too much heat on Brady in November's regular season
meeting, they've really turned the pressure up a notch during the five-game
win streak they'll be bringing into Indianapolis, having recorded 20 sacks
over the surge, and Umenyiora's been playing out of his mind since returning
from an ankle injury just prior to the playoffs.
The health variable seems to be in New York's favor as well. Though both clubs
are substantially different than when they squared off in Foxborough back in
Week 9, and the Patriots have won 10 straight since losing that contest,
remember that the Giants won that game without the services of leading rusher
Ahmad Bradshaw and wide receiver Hakeem Nicks, another major difference-maker
during Big Blue's playoff run. And the ankle sprain New England tight end Rob
Gronkowski suffered in the AFC Championship is a huge concern, as his presence
as both a red-zone force and unheralded blocker are so important to what the
Pats do offensively. If he's not close to 100 percent -- and it's highly
unlikely he will be -- that could really put the Patriots in a bind.
But perhaps the most important element to Sunday's outcome will be the
turnover department. It's certainly no coincidence that the Giants have
flourished down the stretch by taking care of the football, with Manning
having thrown just one interception over his last four outings. The Patriots
have been more error-prone as of late, combining for five giveaways in their
two playoff wins, and they turned it over four times in their earlier loss to
New York. Judging by those results, New England seems more likely to make a
critical mistake that could loom very large if the game is close.
I'm expecting a shootout here, with both quarterbacks putting up big numbers
that'll keep up with this season's theme. I'll go 38-34 Giants, with Manning
coming through once more to claim his second career MVP honor.
The Sports Network